2026
Housing
Impact
5% Deposit
Affordable Housing
Cheaper homes are getting more expensive faster than more expensive homes – and government help for low-deposit buyers is a big reason why.
If you’re trying to buy your first home, this affects:
how much you’ll need to pay
how fast prices are moving in your price range
how much competition you’ll face
What happened in the last 3 months?
Homes under the government price cap (the limit for the 5% deposit guarantee) went up 3.6% in just one quarter
More expensive homes went up only 2.4%
👉 In simple terms: the homes most first-home buyers are looking at are rising in price faster than higher-end homes.
why this is happening
1. The 5% deposit scheme changed buyer behaviour
The government expanded the scheme that lets some buyers purchase with just a 5% deposit.
That’s made cheaper homes much more attractive, because:
buyers can get in with less savings
more people can suddenly afford the same homes
This has pushed up demand – and prices – at the lower end of the market.
2. People rushed in early
Some buyers didn’t even wait for the scheme to officially start.
They bought before October 1 because they expected:
more buyers
more competition
higher prices
That early rush helped push prices up sooner.
3. Interest rates are limiting borrowing power
With interest rates still high:
banks won’t lend as much
buyers are forced to shop cheaper
So instead of buying their “dream home”, many buyers are:
lowering expectations
targeting smaller or cheaper properties
That concentrates demand in the lower price ranges.
4. Investors are in the mix
Investors are very active right now:
investor lending is growing at its fastest pace since 2015
That means first-home buyers aren’t just competing with each other –
they’re also competing with investors who often:
move faster
have more experience
can afford to stretch further
Is it an Australian-wide thing?
Almost everywhere, cheaper homes are rising faster
89% of regions across Australia saw stronger price growth below the price cap
Only the ACT didn’t follow this pattern
Sydney stands out
Homes under the cap rose 2.3% in just three months
Homes above the cap actually fell 0.1%
👉 This shows just how intense competition is at the “entry-level” price point.
What does this mean for your wallet?
If you’re a first-home buyer:
waiting too long could mean paying more for the same home
competition at lower prices is likely to stay intense
the homes you can afford may rise faster than your savings
If you’re relying on the 5% deposit scheme:
you’re not alone
many buyers are chasing the same limited pool of properties
The big takeaway:
The government’s deposit guarantee is helping people get in, but it’s also:
increasing competition
pushing up prices where first-home buyers are shopping
So while it lowers the deposit hurdle, it can also mean:
you may pay more for the property itself.
Understanding this helps you:
set realistic expectations
move decisively when ready
avoid being caught off-guard by rising prices
Read more property data insights at Cotality >>>> click here.