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2026

Housing

| Affordablity |

Impact

5% Deposit

| Scheme |

Affordable Housing

Cheaper homes are getting more expensive faster than more expensive homes – and government help for low-deposit buyers is a big reason why.

If you’re trying to buy your first home, this affects:

  • how much you’ll need to pay

  • how fast prices are moving in your price range

  • how much competition you’ll face

What happened in the last 3 months?

  • Homes under the government price cap (the limit for the 5% deposit guarantee) went up 3.6% in just one quarter

  • More expensive homes went up only 2.4%

👉 In simple terms: the homes most first-home buyers are looking at are rising in price faster than higher-end homes.

why this is happening

1. The 5% deposit scheme changed buyer behaviour

The government expanded the scheme that lets some buyers purchase with just a 5% deposit.

That’s made cheaper homes much more attractive, because:

  • buyers can get in with less savings

  • more people can suddenly afford the same homes

This has pushed up demand – and prices – at the lower end of the market.

2. People rushed in early

Some buyers didn’t even wait for the scheme to officially start.

They bought before October 1 because they expected:

  • more buyers

  • more competition

  • higher prices

That early rush helped push prices up sooner.

3. Interest rates are limiting borrowing power

With interest rates still high:

  • banks won’t lend as much

  • buyers are forced to shop cheaper

So instead of buying their “dream home”, many buyers are:

  • lowering expectations

  • targeting smaller or cheaper properties

That concentrates demand in the lower price ranges.

4. Investors are in the mix

Investors are very active right now:

  • they made up 41% of all mortgage demand

  • investor lending is growing at its fastest pace since 2015

That means first-home buyers aren’t just competing with each other –
they’re also competing with investors who often:

  • move faster

  • have more experience

  • can afford to stretch further

Is it an Australian-wide thing?

Almost everywhere, cheaper homes are rising faster

  • 89% of regions across Australia saw stronger price growth below the price cap

  • Only the ACT didn’t follow this pattern

Sydney stands out

  • Homes under the cap rose 2.3% in just three months

  • Homes above the cap actually fell 0.1%

👉 This shows just how intense competition is at the “entry-level” price point.

What does this mean for your wallet?

If you’re a first-home buyer:

  • waiting too long could mean paying more for the same home

  • competition at lower prices is likely to stay intense

  • the homes you can afford may rise faster than your savings

If you’re relying on the 5% deposit scheme:

  • you’re not alone

  • many buyers are chasing the same limited pool of properties

The big takeaway:

The government’s deposit guarantee is helping people get in, but it’s also:

  • increasing competition

  • pushing up prices where first-home buyers are shopping

So while it lowers the deposit hurdle, it can also mean:
you may pay more for the property itself.

Understanding this helps you:

  • set realistic expectations

  • move decisively when ready

  • avoid being caught off-guard by rising prices

Read more property data insights at Cotality >>>> click here.
affordable home designs
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